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Collaborative Regional Development in Northeast Asia:Towards a Sustainable Regional and Sub-regional Future

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Against the background of accelerating globalization and growing economic interdependence in Northeast Asia over the past two decades, including the recent global economic crisis, this book sets out to examine the status and prospect of cross-border cooperation. It has synthesized diverse strands of discussion and different country perspectives to highlight the challenges and opportunities of collaborative regional development in Northeast Asia. Distinct from previous studies, this book attempts to capture international, national, and local viewpoints in regional development. Practical experience across countries has been analyzed and consolidated to form the basis of a policy agenda for cross-border cooperation.

Combining an intimate knowledge of the region and different disciplinary perspectives, this book offers a wealth of information, statistical and illustrative materials, and analyses across topics and countries of the region. Editors include Won Bae Kim, Research Advisor of the Gyeonggi Research Institute and former Senior Fellow at the Korean Research Institute for Human Settlements, Yue-man Yeung, Emeritus Professor of Geography and Honorary Fellow of The Chinese University of Hong Kong, and Sang- Chuel Choe, former Chairman of the Presidential Committee on Regional Development in South Korea and Professor Emeritus of Seoul National University.

  • 出版社:香港中文大學

    新功能介紹

  • 出版日期:2011/07/01
  • 語言:英文

商品網址: Collaborative Regional Development in Northeast Asia:Towards a Sustainable Regional and Sub-regional Future

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在聯準會主席葉倫鴿派言論導致美元走弱、以及中國第二季GDP優於預期下,人民幣中長期可望轉強,交易人可偏多看待人民幣走勢,偏空布局大小美人期貨。

近期葉倫釋出了傾向鴿派的言論,認為目前利率已經接近「中性利率」,在短期內並沒有大幅度升息的需要,使市場對於聯準會的升息預期下滑,甚至對於12月份是否還能升息也出現了分歧的看法。

觀察芝加哥商業交易所(CME)FedWatch模型顯示,12月的升息機率已經跌破了50%,使得美元指數再度走弱,創下2016年10月以來的新低,而美元指數的走弱,也讓資金出現了重新回流到新興市場的跡象,使亞幣紛紛走強。

受到近期美元指數下跌走勢的影響,人民幣也開始於5月下旬出現連續走強的現象。近期已經升破6.77元,且技術面上並無力竭的現象,短線上升值走勢或可延續。

加上中國公布第二季的GDP為6.9%,優於外資法人預期的6.8%,全年預估可望達成6.5%,提供了中國政府下半年度對於去槓桿、去產能及結構性改革的空間,有助於長期的金融體質改善,預計對於中國的經濟將有正面的助益。

以此觀之,人民幣短線上轉強的走勢將有機會延續,中長期而言,則將持續往6.5元邁進,在基本面未改變的前提下,投資人仍可把握反彈契機,偏多看待人民幣後續走勢。

(工商時報)

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